Bad weather and anomalies: reliable forecast for July 2025
The second summer month will bring bad weather to residents of many regions of Russia. In some parts of Central Russia, the average daily air temperature will be lower than usual, and there is a high chance of rain. In the southern regions of the country, there is a high probability of fires due to drought and high temperatures. What the weather will be like in July 2025, we understand the Izvestia material.
Weather forecast for July 2025 in Moscow
July 2025 in Moscow is expected to be cloudy and cool for the middle of summer: clouds are forecast for most of the month, and there will be few sunny days. According to preliminary data, precipitation will fall in about half of the days of the month — short-term rains are expected, with thunderstorms in some places.
The average daytime temperature will be +23... +24 degrees, at night the air will cool down to +13... +15 degrees. The air humidity will remain high — about 70-74%, especially on rainy days.
The wind is mostly moderate, 3-6 m/s, gusts up to 10 m/s are possible during thunderstorms. Despite the summer season, Muscovites should stock up on umbrellas and take a light jacket with them just in case — forecasters do not predict stable heat.
Weather in July: forecast for the month in St. Petersburg
The forecast for July 2025 in St. Petersburg promises mostly cloudy weather with occasional precipitation. Rainy days are expected from three to eight, precipitation is mostly short-lived, more often in the afternoon.
The air temperature will stay within +20... +23 degrees during the day, and drop to +13... +15 degrees at night. The wind is mainly north-westerly and westerly, moderate, gusts up to 10-12 m/s are possible on days when atmospheric fronts are passing.
The air humidity will remain elevated, especially in the morning. Thunderstorms are possible in the middle and at the end of the month, but without extreme manifestations. On some days, short-term clearings are possible with an increase in temperature to +25 degrees.
What weather anomalies and disasters to expect in July
A number of serious weather anomalies and disasters are expected in Russia in July 2025. Massive forest fires are forecast in Siberia and the Far East: the annual fire season has begun in spring. By May, the area of fires exceeded 600 thousand hectares. An emergency regime has been introduced in some regions, including Transbaikalia and Buryatia.
In July, smoke from fires can reach large cities, worsening air quality and creating toxic smog. In the European part of Russia and in the south, in particular in the Chernozem region, Krasnodar and Stavropol territories, a dry July with a lack of precipitation and high temperatures is forecast. In these regions, summers can become one of the driest and hottest in recent decades.
When will the midges disappear in 2025
In 2025, the midge season in Russia has already begun and will end in the coming weeks. In the Volgograd region, the midge season started in early June, peaking in the middle of the month, but due to the low water of the Volga and Don, the number of midges turned out to be below average — by June 20-30, insect activity will decrease significantly.
In the Khanty-Mansi Autonomous Okrug, the midge season will last significantly longer: in the presence of heat and precipitation, the insects will remain active until the beginning of autumn, while maintaining abnormal heat — until October.
In Novosibirsk and Siberia, the midge season traditionally falls on the third decade of June – the first half of July, but in cold weather, the start of the season may shift to the end of June or the beginning of July.
In the Astrakhan region, due to extremely low water levels, midge activity began earlier than usual, but will end in the third decade of June.
When will the allergy season end in 2025
In Russia, the allergy season in 2025 started earlier than usual due to the warm winter and will end only in autumn.
The season began in March, first with pollen from alder, birch and hazel, then poplars and dandelions were added in May and June. The flowering of linden and meadow grasses will last from June to mid–August, and by the end of July - September, active pollination of weeds such as wormwood, ragweed and quinoa will begin.
Although the large spring allergens, the trees, have already faded by the end of June, the medium—summer grass allergens will remain active until September. In the northern regions and Siberia, the season may shift slightly, but its end everywhere is expected no earlier than autumn, when the last reactive herbs that cause allergies will disappear.
Atmospheric pressure in July: a blow to weather-sensitive
In July 2025, frequent changes in atmospheric pressure are expected in Central Russia, the Urals and the south of the country due to cyclones and anticyclones. This will lead to pressure fluctuations from the usual summer values of about 740 mmHg to lower values of about 730-731 mm. Such changes are considered noticeable for weather-sensitive people, especially if the changes occur abruptly and within a short time.
Pressure surges within 5-10 mmHg can cause headaches, weakness, decreased concentration, dizziness, pressure drops, and sleep disorders.
People with chronic diseases of the heart, vascular system and nervous regulation react especially acutely to such changes. Weather-dependent patients complain of drowsiness, irritability, fatigue, joint and muscle pain. With a decrease in blood pressure, tissue hypoxia may develop, which exacerbates headaches and nausea. With an increase in atmospheric pressure, blood pressure spikes and increased blood flow are possible, which can also cause discomfort.
Weather in July by regions of Russia
The risk of hurricanes, high winds and thunderstorms remains in the Ural region and Siberia. Increased thunderstorm activity is expected in the northwestern and central parts of the country: cases of severe lightning, thunderstorms and tornadoes are becoming more frequent. In Western Siberia and the Urals, abnormal heat is possible with a lack of precipitation, which will increase fire risk and worsen conditions for agriculture.
The second month of summer can be a test for many regions of Russia: due to the heat, dryness, fires and hurricanes, local residents are advised to follow the forecasts and warnings of the Ministry of Emergency Situations.
Weather forecast for July – 2025 in Sochi, Anapa, Crimea
The weather in Sochi in July 2025 will be mostly warm and relatively dry. On average, the air temperature will be about +25 degrees during the day, and about +20 degrees at night. The relative humidity is high — about 79%.
Forecasters note the risk of abnormal heat and drought in the Krasnodar Territory — precipitation may be about half the norm at temperatures above +30 degrees.
Typically warm resort weather is expected in Anapa in July 2025. The average daytime temperature will be about +26 degrees, and the nighttime temperature will be about +20... +22 degrees. About 26 mm of precipitation and about five rainy days are expected for the month, with a relative humidity of about 68%. No weather anomalies are expected, except for increased temperatures and slight aridity.
Warm and dry weather is also expected in the resorts of Crimea in July. The average temperature during the day is about +29 degrees, at night — about +18 degrees. About 40 mm of precipitation falls per month, about seven rainy days, while the relative humidity is about 56%.
Forecasters also warn of possible abnormal heat and lack of precipitation: the air temperature may be noticeably higher than normal, and humidity may be lower. Long showers and severe storms are not predicted — the main risk is associated with hot, dry weather.
Water temperature in the Black, Baltic, Caspian, Azov and other seas
In July 2025, the water temperature in the Russian seas will be within the climatic norm.
In the Black Sea, especially near the coast of the Krasnodar Territory and Crimea, the water temperature at the beginning of the month will be about +24 ... +25 degrees, and by the end of the month it will warm up to +26 ... +27 degrees. In the Sea of Azov, the water will be even warmer — about +24... +26 degrees, and in shallow bays it can reach +28 and even +30... +32 degrees.
In the Baltic Sea, mainly in the Kaliningrad region and Baltiysk, the water will warm up to +18... +20 degrees. In the Gulf of Finland of the Baltic Sea, the water will be cooler, about +15... +16 degrees. In the White Sea, the water temperature in July will average from +9 to +17 degrees, depending on the distance from the coast and the specific bay.
In the Caspian Sea, as in previous years, the water temperature in July will rise to +24... +26 degrees, and in the south — to +28. Thus, for vacationers, the most comfortable water for swimming will be in the Black, Azov and Caspian Seas.
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