Summer 2025 under threat: alarming weather forecast for June, July, August
In May, some forecasters predicted that after a warm winter, summer in 2025 would be the hottest in the history of meteorological observations. However, these predictions were later refuted. According to experts, temperatures in the summer months will exceed the norm, but will not become abnormally high. At the same time, it will be possible to accurately predict the weather only a few days before the desired date. Approximate values of air and water temperatures, precipitation, and the geography of disasters for the summer of 2025 in Russia can be found in the Izvestia article.
Weather forecast for summer 2025 in Moscow and the Moscow region
Summer in Central Russia will be comfortable, relatively warm, but not hot, Evgeny Tishkovets, a leading specialist at the Phobos weather center, wrote on his Telegram channel. According to the meteorologists of Yandex.Weather conditions", in Moscow the temperature in the summer months will exceed the norm by only two to three degrees. Tatiana Pozdnyakova, chief specialist of the Meteonosti news agency, believes that the excess will be 1-1.5 degrees. At the same time, the analysts of Yandex.Weather experts have added the capital to the list of cities with a high probability of drought.
According to Evgeny Tishkovets' forecast, the temperature in June will be moderate. According to him, the water in the reservoirs will warm up slowly, so the bathing season will begin in the second decade of the month. A "slight excess of rain" is expected, and the first day of summer will "announce itself with a cannonade of thunderstorms." But according to the forecast of Yandex.Weather conditions", a significant reduction in precipitation relative to the climatic norm is possible in Moscow in summer. In Central Russia, 1.5 times less precipitation is forecast than usual.
According to the World Weather service, the temperature in Moscow in June will range from +17 to +26 degrees during daytime hours. It will be mostly sunny, but rain is forecast on June 7, 8, 9 and 10. In the Moscow region, the daytime air temperature will mostly be around +23 degrees. However, days with low temperatures are also expected, for example, +13 degrees are forecast on June 9 and +15 degrees on June 8. Nevertheless, there will be hot days with temperatures of +25... +26 degrees. Light precipitation is forecast on June 7, 8, 9 and 10.
"There is a high probability that even in the first month of summer, the maximum air temperature will reach +30 degrees for several days. As for rains, six out of eight models predict a June precipitation deficit," writes Tatiana Pozdnyakova.
July in the capital will be the hottest month and also slightly arid. However, Evgeny Tishkovets does not foresee extreme heat: exceeding the average monthly temperatures is expected by 2-2.5 degrees.
In July, the air temperature in Moscow will mostly be +25 degrees, in the Moscow region — +23... +24 degrees, according to World Weather data.
No serious heat is expected in August either.
"August in the capital will be calm — warmer than expected by only one degree, with precipitation close to normal," Evgeny Tishkovets said on his Telegram channel. In Moscow and the Moscow region in August it will be mostly +24 degrees and without precipitation.
"June and the following months of summer set Muscovites up for warmth and lack of precipitation. So you can relax and warm up in the summer in the Moscow region," concludes Tatiana Pozdnyakova.
What will summer 2025 be like for Crimea, Sochi, and Krasnodar Krai?
In Crimea, summer promises to be not as hot as last year, but not cold either, an associate professor at the Department of Tourism at the Faculty of Geography, Geoecology and Tourism at the Taurida Academy of the KFU told RIA Novosti. Vernadsky Igor Vakhrushev. According to him, temperature anomalies are possible, as well as jumps both up and down. However, there are no anomalies that could put the Crimean tourism industry out of business for several weeks.
"The summer season, including the swimming season, will be slightly prolonged and will shift towards autumn," Vakhrushev noted.
The first month of summer in Crimea will be sunny and warm, with daytime temperatures mostly at +27 degrees. In July it will be +30 degrees, in August it will be +30... +33 degrees.
In the Krasnodar Territory, summer "may surpass the temperature records of previous decades." In Yandex.Weather was informed that July in Krasnodar could become the hottest month in the last 30 years. In addition, there is a possibility that less precipitation will fall in Krasnodar than in other years. According to World Weather, June in Krasnodar will be sunny, with daytime temperatures of +28 degrees. No precipitation is expected in July, and the temperature will range from +30 to +34 degrees. August is predicted to be as sunny and hot as July.
In Sochi, the weather will be warm, although the first 10 days of June are expected to be relatively cool, mostly +23 degrees. +25 is forecast from June 11...+27 degrees. July will be sunny with a temperature of +28 degrees. August will be the hottest month — +28... +30 degrees Celsius.
Weather in the summer of 2025 in St. Petersburg and the Leningrad region
The summer months in St. Petersburg and the Leningrad region will be as warm and comfortable as last year, forecaster Alexander Kolesov believes. At the same time, according to his forecast, a steady positive temperature anomaly is expected. As Kolesov noted, the season will be ideal for rest and travel. Meteorologists of Yandex.The Weather forecast also predicts an increase in temperature in St. Petersburg by two to three degrees.
Forecaster Alexander Shuvalov notes that the chance of a normal or hot summer is 70%. According to Yandex.Weather forecast", in the Northern capital this summer there will be 1.5 times less precipitation than usual.
The June air temperature in St. Petersburg will range from +13 to +23 degrees during the day, mostly +21 degrees. Precipitation is expected to be low, according to World Weather data. July will be warmer — from +22 to +26 degrees and with almost no precipitation. Sunny weather is expected in the last month of summer, with air temperatures ranging from +20 to +24 degrees.
In the Leningrad region, according to the information of the Bolshaya Strana service, it will be colder in June than in St. Petersburg. So, the daytime air temperature will mostly be +17 degrees. The temperature in July will range from +19 to +24 degrees, in August — from +16 to +23 degrees.
What kind of weather is expected in June, July and August 2025 in Russia by region
Summer in many million-plus cities is expected to be two to three degrees hotter, according to meteorologists from Yandex Weather.
June in Central Russia will be warm, dry and with variable clouds. Frequent rains are expected in July, thunderstorms and gusty winds are possible. August will be comfortable, and warmth is expected until mid-September.
The summer will be warm in the southern regions of Russia. In the Krasnodar Territory and the Rostov Region, temperatures may reach record levels in previous decades. The Rostov region will have a particularly dry summer. Forecasters predict three times less precipitation than usual. Less rain is also expected in Krasnodar than the norm suggests, but more than last summer.
In the Urals, the summer will be hot and fire-prone. The average daily air temperature will exceed the norm by one or two degrees. However, the first month of summer, according to the Russian Hydrometeorological Center, will be colder than last year. The average monthly temperature is expected to be one degree below normal at +16.9 degrees. There will be a normal amount of precipitation (72 mm). July will be hot in the Urals. The average temperature will exceed the norm by more than a degree — it will be about +20 degrees. Weather forecasters also predict a drought in July, with little precipitation. In August, the temperature will return to normal, it will be around +16 degrees. The probability of rain is low.
Hot weather is also expected in Siberia. As climatologist Alexey Nepomnyashchikh reported, on some days the temperature will exceed +45 degrees. And precipitation will fall in excess of the norm, follows from the forecast of Yandex.The weather." According to the Russian Hydrometeorological Center, in June in the Novosibirsk region the temperature will be one degree higher than normal, and in the Tomsk region it will be much hotter. There will be enough precipitation. July is going to be hot. Precipitation deficit is likely in southern Siberia, and normal precipitation is expected in the Novosibirsk Region. August in Siberia is forecast to be warmer than usual, and precipitation will be within the normal range.
Forecasters predict a hotter summer than usual for the Far East. "Compared to last year, maximum warming is expected in Chukotka, the Khabarovsk Territory, the Magadan Region, Kamchatka, Sakhalin and the south-east of Yakutia," Yandex said in a statement.The weather." At the same time, the summer in the Far East will not be dry. Experts believe that there will be more rain in 2025 than in 2024.
Water temperature in the summer of 2025 in the Black and Azov Seas
The swimming season on the Black Sea, according to the forecast of the scientific director of the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia Roman Vilfand, will begin on June 15-20. These days, the water temperature will reach a comfortable +20... +22 degrees. Some tourists may start swimming sooner or later, as everyone feels comfortable with the water temperature.
According to World Weather, in June, the average water temperature on the Black Sea coast will be about +22 degrees. In July, the water will warm up to +25 degrees, and in August — up to +27 degrees.
The Sea of Azov is warming faster than the Black Sea, Vilfand noted. The average water temperature of the Sea of Azov in June will be +25 degrees. In the second month of summer, the temperature will rise to +28 degrees. In August, the average water temperature will drop by two degrees, experts expect a sea temperature of +26 degrees.
Natural disasters in summer 2025: what to expect
Despite the deafening claims of the hottest summer in history, it is not yet possible to say whether the weather in the summer months across Russia will be extreme. Roman Vilfand emphasized in an interview with TASS that today there are no reliable methods for long-term forecasting of abnormally hot weather.
"Not only the frequency, but also the intensity of extreme and dangerous weather events is growing, which are now manifested not only in the south of the country, but also in other regions. These include windstorms, hurricanes, and heavy rains. At the same time, the trend towards droughts persists in some territories, which creates additional problems for agriculture and other sectors of the economy," Maxim Simakin, an expert in meteorology at Perm Polytechnic University and a member of the Russian Geographical Society, commented on the situation.
But experts predict wildfires for this summer. The Ministry of Natural Resources and Environment called the situation in the European part of the country particularly difficult. Based on information from previous years, the Hydrometeorological Center suggested that in the second and third months of summer, forests will burn the most in the Arkhangelsk, Irkutsk, Kurgan, Murmansk, Novosibirsk, Omsk, Pskov, Sverdlovsk, Tomsk and Chelyabinsk regions, in the Trans-Baikal, Kamchatka, Krasnoyarsk, Khabarovsk territories, as well as in the Komi Republics, in Altai, Tuva, Yakutia, Khanty-Mansiysk and Yamalo-Nenets districts.
Boris Kubai, head of the Primhydromet, predicted heavy rains and, as a result, floods and floods in the Primorsky Territory.
According to Maxim Simakin, weather events are becoming more diverse and unpredictable, so you need to be prepared for unusual weather events and extreme weather conditions throughout the year.
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