Hyperactive: the bitcoin exchange rate may reach $130 thousand in the coming months
The bitcoin exchange rate may reach $130,000 in the coming months, and exceed $150,000 by the end of the year, experts interviewed by Izvestia predicted. The price of the coin continues to rise amid plans to reduce taxes in the United States, expectations of a Fed rate cut and a weakening dollar. The exchange rate of the main cryptocurrency updates the historical record for the second day in a row, on July 11 it exceeded $ 118.8 thousand. What other factors will affect the price of the coin in the near future can be found in the Izvestia article.
Why Bitcoin Price is Breaking Records
The bitcoin exchange rate has been updating its historical maximum for two days, reaching $118.8 thousand on July 11. As of 19:00, the price has slightly rolled back to $117.3.
One of the main reasons for the increase in quotations was the tax reform in the United States initiated by Donald Trump in the Big Beautiful Bill. It offers tax cuts, extended benefits for families and business support, thereby stimulating interest in investments, said Alexander Krayko, a leading analyst at crypto broker Cifra Markets. According to him, rumors about a possible change of Fed Chairman Jerome Powell also had an impact. This has raised expectations of monetary policy easing, which usually has a positive effect on the digital asset market.
Regardless of whether Trump succeeds in firing the Fed chairman or not, the rate will be lowered, said Fyodor Ivanov, director of analytics at Russian AML/KYT provider Shard. Currently, in the United States, it remains at 4.5%, but even if the rate is lowered to 4.25%, it will still mean that the Fed has succumbed to Trump's pressure and he will continue to demand even more easing of monetary policy, the expert added.
— Trump is actively demanding to reduce the rate by 3 percentage points, arguing that its high level costs the United States too much, and declares that there is no inflation, and companies are "pouring into America." This creates a favorable environment for risky assets, including bitcoin," explained Vasily Girya, owner and CEO of GIS Mining.
US President Donald Trump
The bitcoin exchange rate, as practice has shown, also begins to rise with the escalation of disputes over customs tariffs. Therefore, the current increase in the price of the coin is mainly due to two circumstances — the adoption of the Trump budget law, which sharply increased investors' concerns about the state of the US treasury, and increased tariffs imposed by the US authorities since July this year, said Alexander Abramov, head of the laboratory for the analysis of institutions and financial markets at the Presidential Academy.
As a result, investors tend to move from conservative assets to riskier ones, said independent economist Andrei Barkhota. Trump's announced opportunity to allow the formation of a portion of reserves from cryptocurrencies has also created fertile ground for their growth, he pointed out.
Two more drivers of the bitcoin surge are the record influx of money into bitcoin ETFs (exchange—traded investment funds) in the amount of $1.18 billion per day, which ensures strong steady demand from institutions, and the elimination of short positions in futures, says Denis Astafyev, fund manager and founder of the SharesPro fintech platform. When the market goes up sharply, "shorts" (short positions) are closed through purchase, which creates a snowball effect and further accelerates the price, explained Vasily Girya.
In his opinion, the next realistic target for bitcoin by September 1 is $130 thousand.
What will happen to the bitcoin exchange rate in 2025
The majority of experts interviewed by Izvestia expect the bitcoin exchange rate to continue to rise this year. The range of these values varies, according to the consensus forecast, by the end of 2025, the main cryptocurrency will reach the level of $ 150 thousand.
Fedor Ivanov from Shard, Vasily Girya from GIS Mining, and Ivan Ermokhin, a researcher at the Gaidar Institute's Laboratory for the analysis of best international practices, expect the coin to grow to this value.
It is possible that bitcoin will reach the level of $200,000, said Fyodor Sidorov, a private investor and founder of the School of Practical Investment. According to him, such a scenario is possible while maintaining a high interest in cryptocurrency from funds, reducing the real profitability of dollar-denominated instruments and opting for crypto assets. Some forecasts in the United States suggest levels of up to $250,000 and above by 2026, the expert added.
According to Andrey Barkhota, the equilibrium bitcoin exchange rate in the second half of 2025 will be about $115 thousand, with a possible one-time increase to $125 thousand.
While maintaining interest from the ETF investment fund and expectations of a reduction in the key interest rate in the United States, technical support for the cryptocurrency will shift to $113-115 thousand in the fall, and the coin's immediate goals will be $120 thousand and $128 thousand, said Denis Astafyev from SharesPro. According to him, by the end of the year, the price of bitcoin could reach $150,000.
In the near future, the cryptocurrency will respond to expectations for a Fed rate cut, as well as to the dollar exchange rate, stock growth, tax relief, trade duties, and the geopolitical situation. In particular, the low dollar will serve as a positive factor, said Alexander Krayko from Cifra Markets.
— The base scenario is a continuation of the current growth trend and retention in new ranges, where the price is coming, with possible short pullbacks and subsequent continuation of growth, — the analyst believes.
In any case, it is important today to track the bitcoin exchange rate, which has become an integral part of macroeconomics, experts conclude.
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