Active growth: bitcoin is predicted to reach $150,000 by the end of the year
Bitcoin is projected to cost $150,000 by the end of the year, according to Izvestia's consensus forecast. By the end of May, he once again broke through the historical maximum of $ 111 thousand. The reasons are the real steps to legalize cryptocurrencies in the United States and the high demand for this asset, which is taking shape against the backdrop of expectations of lower Fed rates and trade wars. These factors will continue to support the cryptocurrency in the coming months, and there are much more positives in this market than negatives, experts believe. Why trust in bitcoins is growing and whether it is worth investing in them now is in the Izvestia article.
Why did Bitcoin exceed $111 thousand?
The bitcoin exchange rate at the end of May updated its historical maximum, reaching $111,880 per coin, according to the site data. Investing.com . However, then it rolled back slightly.
US President Donald Trump holds a signed decree on cryptocurrencies in the Oval Office of the White House in Washington, USA, January 23, 2025
The main reason for the growth is that the Trump administration is seeking to remove more and more restrictions from institutional investors (mainly banks) in their ability to invest in cryptocurrencies, explained Fyodor Ivanov, director of analytics at the Russian AML platform Shard. At the end of May, the US Senate considered the law on stablecoins — it received bipartisan support. In fact, the document creates the foundation for the regulation of stable cryptocurrencies. Such changes are part of Trump's election promises, which were going to make America a "global crypto capital."
The bill requires that such tokens be fully backed by US dollars or other liquid assets. And issuers of stablecoins with a capitalization of over $50 billion are required to undergo an annual audit.
The second reason is the expectation of an early reduction in the rate of the American regulator, the Federal Reserve, which has been at 4.5% since the beginning of the year, says Fedov Ivanov. According to him, Trump is constantly demanding its immediate reduction, and the market is growing accordingly based on these expectations. The lower the rate, the less profitable dollar—denominated assets will become, which means that investments in cryptocurrency will become more attractive.
The US Federal Reserve in Washington, DC
Thirdly, the promotion of the cryptocurrency was influenced by the relatively positive development of events in geopolitics: negotiations on the settlement of the Ukrainian conflict and the defusing of tension with Iran, Fyodor Ivanov added. All this has a positive effect on the markets — the S&P and NASDAQ are also near the highs.
An additional driver was the reduction in trade duties between the United States and China — American tariffs were reduced from 145% to 30%, Chinese tariffs from 125% to 10%, which improved the overall market sentiment, added Kava Khoja, senior lecturer at the Department of Economic Theory at Plekhanov Russian University of Economics.
Another support factor is the approval by the House of Representatives of Trump's bill providing for large—scale tax breaks in the United States, said Oleg Kalmanovich, an analyst at Neomarkets. If the Senate supports the initiative, it will temporarily stimulate the economy — and when it grows, interest in cryptocurrencies also rises, the expert explained.
This year, investors have generally begun to trust bitcoin more and perceive it as an analogue of gold, a reliable protective asset against inflation, Denis Astafyev, founder of the SharesPro investment company, told Izvestia. The natural cyclical nature of the crypto market also works for bitcoin — every four years it updates historical highs, added Kava Khoja of the Plekhanov Russian University of Economics. The last time the asset grew sharply was at the end of 2021.
What will happen to the Bitcoin exchange rate
The majority of experts interviewed by Izvestia expect bitcoin to continue to grow in 2025. However, the range of these values varies greatly. Judging by the consensus forecast, by the end of the year, the main cryptocurrency may reach about $150,000.
The level of $ 120-130 thousand at the end of the year is predicted by Denis Astafyev from SharesPro and Vladislav Antonov from BitRiver. There are all prerequisites to believe that bitcoin may reach $120-140 thousand in the next two to three months, noted Alexey Tarapovsky, founder of Anderida Financial Group. Shard predicted an increase to $150,000 by December in the absence of significant negative factors.
As stated by Kava Hoxha, bitcoin may even exceed the $180 thousand mark. The forecast range from $160 to $250 thousand was made by Vasily Girya, CEO of GIS Mining.
"With a favorable development of events, as well as if key technical levels are successfully overcome, bitcoin is quite capable of reaching the upper limit of this range by the end of 2025," said Vasily Girya.
Currently, weak inflation, signals for lower rates and the stabilization of geopolitics remain positive factors for bitcoin, said Oleg Kalmanovich from Neomarkets. According to him, from a technical point of view, important support levels (the marks through which investors begin to either buy an asset or sell it off. — Ed.) are about $100-105 thousand. The nearest growth targets are $114 thousand, $118 thousand and $122 thousand.
— Several events will affect the bitcoin exchange rate in the near future. Further approval of ETFs, capital inflows from funds, and increased interest in crypto from developing countries will have a positive effect. Regulatory restrictions, technical disruptions on exchanges, and geopolitical upheavals may be constraining factors,— added Denis Astafyev from SharesPro.
According to estimates by Sergey Kropotov, a senior analyst at AMSN, the bitcoin growth trend will end in 2026 with BTC values in the range of $140-180 thousand. In any case, investors should remember that the crypto market is still highly volatile and any negative news can cause short-term corrections.
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