The expert allowed a pause in the process of reducing the key rate
Petr Shcherbachenko, an associate professor at the Financial University under the Government of Russia, admitted that the Central Bank of the Russian Federation, making a decision on the key rate at a meeting to be held on September 11, is likely to take a break.
In conversation with Lenta.Ru On Thursday, August 27, the expert noted that the probability of such a scenario is 55%. He estimated the chances of a 0.25 percentage point rate cut at 25%, and a more significant reduction at 15%. The remaining options account for 5%. At the same time, the expert expects that the regulator will signal a more significant rate cut at the next meeting.
The economist added that before making a decision, the regulator will analyze the data for August and early September, but will continue its policy of gradually reducing the key rate.
Before that, on August 25, 360.ru With reference to experts, he noted that the maximum deposit rate among the offers of the 20 largest Russian banks has reached 19% per annum. The maximum yield is offered by a three-month deposit. The minimum rate among the top 20 is 7% for a three-year deposit.
Russian Deputy Prime Minister Marat Khusnullin, in an interview with Izvestia on August 19, noted difficulties in the construction industry due to the high key interest rate.
Also in August, the Rosreestr press service reported that in July 2026, 7,607 housing mortgage loan agreements were registered in the capital in the primary and secondary real estate markets. The indicator was 12% lower than the previous month, according to the Moscow City News agency.
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