The investor estimated the probability of a dollar depreciation to 60 rubles.
In Russia, there are practically no stakeholders, including the Central Bank, in the fall of the dollar to 60 rubles, so such a scenario is unlikely even in the short term. This opinion was expressed by the investor, serial entrepreneur Sergey Grishin on Wednesday, April 15.
According to the expert, the ruble is currently strengthening, partly due to the decision to temporarily cancel the budget rule. He also noted that the rise in oil prices makes many expect a further strengthening of the Russian currency.
"But, firstly, this is a temporary factor, and secondly, the impact of oil on the ruble exchange rate has decreased: the share of commodity exports in the country's economy is now relatively small," the investor said in a conversation with Lenta.Ru .
Grishin recalled that the dollar weakened by several percent, which also affects the ruble-dollar exchange rate.
According to the ICE trading platform, the US currency has noticeably fallen in price against the ruble. The dollar was trading at 74.91 rubles, the website said. kp.ru On April 13, the over-the-counter dollar exchange rate dropped to 75.92 rubles, reaching its lowest level since February 25. 360.ru .
On April 12, The Wall Street Journal reported a decline in American futures after the breakdown of negotiations on a settlement of the conflict between the United States and Iran in Islamabad. Earlier, oil prices rose sharply: U.S. crude futures gained 9.2% and reached $105 per barrel, while the price of Brent rose to about $102. At the same time, futures for the S&P 500 and Dow Jones indices declined by about 1%.
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