The political scientist estimated the probability of a nuclear conflict between India and Pakistan
- Новости
- Policy
- The political scientist estimated the probability of a nuclear conflict between India and Pakistan


India and Pakistan will most likely not use nuclear weapons. This opinion was shared by Vladimir Sotnikov, a leading researcher at the Center for Central Asian Studies of the ISSA RAS, in an interview with Izvestia on April 25.
"I don't think either side will use nuclear weapons at all. Yes, they have nuclear weapons, but crossing this threshold of using nuclear weapons is a very serious thing," the expert said.
He also added that the forecast of former LDPR leader Vladimir Zhirinovsky about the nuclear conflict between India and Pakistan is likely not to come true.
"Zhirinovsky was certainly a very intelligent man and a visionary politician. But all these prophecies have little to do with real politics, because there is such a thing as real politics, which exists in international relations," the political scientist noted.
In addition, the expert commented on the likely reaction of other states to what is happening between the two countries.
"Countries such as the United States, China and Russia are absolutely not interested in another conflict between the two neighbors, which could become the fifth in a row, taking into account the Kargil conflict in 1999. Now the international community is waiting to see how both countries will try to resolve this acute situation at the bilateral level," Sotnikov said.
He stressed that Russia has built good relations with both countries and admitted that the Russian Federation will soon officially call on India and Pakistan for peace.
"Russia will remain in a neutral position and will not take sides. This is absolutely unnecessary for Russia," the political scientist concluded.
Relations between New Delhi and Islamabad worsened after the terrorist attack on April 22 near the Indian city of Pahalgam in the disputed territory of Jammu and Kashmir, which killed 27 civilians.
On April 24, India imposed a series of diplomatic measures against Pakistan, to which Islamabad later responded appropriately. Thus, the military advisers of the embassies in both countries were recognized as persona non grata, and the number of representative offices was reduced. Both countries have closed the only common open land border and suspended visas. New Delhi has also suspended the Indus Waters Treaty.
Переведено сервисом «Яндекс Переводчик»