The political scientist estimated the probability of a new war in Transcaucasia

If the Armenian authorities are uncooperative, Azerbaijan may resort to a new armed escalation in the region. This was stated by political analyst Artur Ataev in an interview with Izvestia.

"Azerbaijan demands to change the Armenian constitution, but the ruling party no longer has a constitutional majority in parliament. In such a situation, a new armed conflict may indeed occur. What will it be like? Azerbaijan may try to take control of the south of Armenia in order to independently ensure communication with Nakhichevan and Turkey. If Baku decides that there are enough forces, then I will allow a larger—scale offensive along the entire border," he said.

Earlier, Armenian political analyst Arman Abovyan noted that one of the main results of the parliamentary elections in Armenia is the loss of the constitutional majority by the government. According to him, the Civil Contract party will no longer be able to single-handedly appoint judges of the Constitutional Court, a number of high-ranking officials, approve many international agreements and announce referendums.

Parliamentary elections were held in Armenia on June 7. The ruling Civil Contract party failed to reach 50% of the vote, but it still won a majority and will form a government. The Strong Armenia bloc came in second place, with 23.29% of the voters voting for it. The leader of the association, Samvel Karapetyan, stated about falsifications and pressure on the opposition.

Read more in the Izvestia article:

Letters of Discord: Why the Armenian elections may lead to a new war