New World Order: Andreeva aims for the top 3 of the world ranking

The completed Roland Garros has significantly changed the rankings in world tennis. And no wonder: no tournament has more points awarded than a Grand Slam event. A victory in Paris earns 2,000 points, twice as many as a title at the Masters or a WTA 1000 tournament, and 500 points more than the maximum result at the Final championship. We are looking at how the positions of Mirra Andreeva and other Russians have changed after the end of the main part of the clay season and what to expect before the start of the grass series and Wimbledon.

Mirra's leadership in the Championship Race

Of course, the Roland Garros champion Mirra Andreeva is in the spotlight. The 19-year-old Russian has become one of the ten youngest Slam winners in the Open Era (since 1968) and one of the three most successful juniors in the majors in the 21st century. At the same time, Mirra has not even repeated her best result in the ranking, rising only to sixth place (and after Wimbledon 2025 she was fifth), but this seems to be a matter of the coming months, if not weeks. Moreover, by the middle of summer Andreeva may well get into the top three!

However, let's first look at an even more pleasant rating for Mirra at the moment — the Championship Race. Only the points scored since the beginning of the season are counted here. Once upon a time, the scoring system was different — a slightly different number of tournaments was taken, otherwise bonuses for wins over the top worked (they were provided in the 52-week rating back in the 1990s), the points themselves were awarded five times less. So, the title on the "Slam" until 2009 gave 1000 points in the main rating and only 200 in the World Championship. But since then, the differences have been removed, so there is no need to understand the two rating systems now.

So, in the Championship race Andreeva came out on top! By itself, this fact does not give any special bonuses, but it is pleasant. Do not forget that the ratings are synchronized by the end of the season, so if you maintain your leadership in the World Championship by November, you will automatically become the first racket of the world. Currently, Mirra has 4,928 points, Arina Sobolenko has 4,510, Elena Rybakina has 4388, Elina Svitolina has 3,890, and the rest of the pursuers are more than 1,700 points behind Andreeva. By the way, before Roland Garros, Rybakina was in the lead in the race, and Andreeva was only fifth.

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The 19-year-old Russian woman has entered the history of tennis

The top 5 are very close

Mirra has 5751 points in the 52-week ranking, and she is literally close to the top five. Amanda Anisimova scored 5848 points, and Jessica Pegula scored 6056, meaning both can be beaten in just one tournament, including before Wimbledon. If you do this, then the Russian woman will also get into the top four of the seeding on the grass "Helmet". A place in the top 4 at any major tournament is important for the draw - it guarantees the absence of other seeding leaders in your quarter of the grid, that is, you will not meet anyone from the top four until the semifinals. At the same Roland Garros, Andreeva, who received the eighth seed, hypothetically went to Rybakina in the quarterfinals, Sventek in the semifinals and Sobolenko in the finals. Yes, in the end, none of them reached Myrrh, but such a starfall does not happen often.

Amanda Mirra can get around without doing anything this week. A year ago, an American of Russian origin was in the final of the "five hundred" in London, and if she performs worse in the British capital now than she did then, she will skip Andreeva to fifth place. But to get into the top 4 seeds at Wimbledon, Mirra will have to "light up" next week in Berlin. All the strongest have been announced there, except for Sventek: Andreeva herself, Sobolenko, Rybakina, Gauff, Anisimova, Svitolina, Pegula. The latter does not protect anything in Berlin (like Mirra), so the Russian will have to win back 305 points from her. To do this, you need to at least reach the final (325 points), and if Jessica passes at least one round, win the title. At the same time, the American should not get to the title match.

Well, after Wimbledon, Mirra may well be in the top three. Moreover, Pegula looks like the main rival here, and not Sventek at all, who currently occupies the third place and is ahead of Andreeva by almost 1,000 points (6733 against 5751). Iga defends first 325 points for the Bad Homburg final, and then 2000 for the Wimbledon title! Until last year, the Polish tennis player had never shone on grass, and it's not easy to believe that now, after spending a rather unconvincing stretch of the season, she will "shoot" on grass courts again.

If you subtract last year's grass-court points from all the tennis players, Mirra is ahead of Iga by more than 800 points! Apart from the currently unattainable Arina and Elena, she is second only to Jessica — the virtual difference between them after Wimbledon is 322 points. That's how much more the Russian needs to score in order to stay ahead of Pegula after the grass tournaments are over.

"Mirra closed the semifinals like an adult and was the favorite of the final"

Former third racket of the world Nadezhda Petrova — about Andreeva's victory at Roland Garros and her plans for the development of tennis in the regions of the Russian Federation

Rybakina in pursuit of leadership in the rating

We also note that Elena Rybakina clearly aimed for the first place even before Wimbledon. There are now less than a thousand points between her and Sobolenko, which can be won back in two weeks. Elena has already been announced for two "five hundredths" in a row, London and Berlin, and recently it became known that she will play in Bad Homburg. How reasonable it is to compete on grass for five weeks in a row (taking into account Wimbledon) is a question, and no one else from the top will do so. On the other hand, no one prevents you from withdrawing from one of these competitions at some point. And it is still unclear whether Sobolenko will fly to Berlin — according to her press conference after the sensational defeat by Diana Schneider in the quarterfinals of Roland Garros, there was a feeling that the Belarusian could easily arrange a vacation and not go on court until Wimbledon. If Arina is not in Germany, Elena's chances of taking over her leadership are even greater.

According to the results of the WG, there were several permutations in the second and third tens of the rating. Marta Kostyuk, who reached the semifinals in Paris, became the 12th racket of the world for the first time, Diana Schneider rose to the 16th position thanks to the semifinal, Anna Kalinskaya returned to the top 20. And above all, of course, Maya Khvalinska jumped. The sensational finalist, who started from qualifying, not only made her debut in the top 100, but was immediately on the 21st line! However, the effect of this in terms of tournament entries will come only after Wimbledon, since all applications to the main draw are closed in six weeks. Even on a grass slam, she will either have to play qualifying competitions again, or count on a wild card from the organizers. At the same time, if Maya somehow gets into the main draw of Wimbledon, she will be seeded there.

Medvedev may return to the top 5

In the men's tour, the leaders, Yannick Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz, lost a lot of points, but their positions have not yet been shaken. The Italian remains the leader by a huge margin, with 13,500 points, while the Spaniard is second with 9,960 points. Alexander Zverev, who finally won his Slam, remained third (7,305 points), while Felix Auger-Alliassim, who reached the quarterfinals, made his debut on the fourth line (4,440). Novak Djokovic, who did not defend the semifinal points, sank decently — after losing to Joao Fonseca in the third round, the Serb lost three positions and became seventh. Daniil Medvedev has 3,760 points, as well as Novak, but the Russian is inferior in additional indicators, taking eighth place. Roland Garros finalist Flavio Kobolli made his debut in the top ten, ousting Alexander Bublik from it. Andrey Rublev and Karen Khachanov retained the 13th and 15th places, respectively.

It is impossible to change the men's world number one in the foreseeable future, especially since Carlos continues to treat his wrist and will not even play at Wimbledon. Theoretically, Alexander Zverev can beat him and become the second, but the German has always shown poor results on grass, so this is not the most likely scenario. I would like to hope for a breakthrough from Medvedev, who has nothing to defend on grass except 330 points for the Halle final. If Daniil shows his best tennis from this season, and not the one that was on the courts of Roland Garros, then a return to the top 5 should happen even before Wimbledon — and then you can compete for the top four.