The economist has allowed a reduction in the key rate to 16% by the end of the year.

Georgy Ostapkovich, research director of the HSE Center for Market Research, admitted that the Central Bank may reduce the key rate to 16% by the end of the year.

In conversation with aif.ru On Wednesday, July 30, the expert noted that, according to the consensus forecast, the stage of lowering the key rate has begun. According to him, by the end of the year the rate may drop to 16%, and some, in his words, especially bold analysts suggest a reduction to 15% or even 14%.

However, he considers such a scenario unlikely, stressing that much will depend on the economic situation, market conditions and geopolitical factors.

The calculated rate: income from deposits over 210 thousand will be taxed

This will happen if the key is not urgently raised above 21 by the end of the year.%

As the website wrote kp.ru On July 25, the reduction of the key rate to 18% is due to a decrease in inflation. One of the main reasons for this is the strong ruble. In addition, the prices of Russian goods are also decreasing.

On the same day, the chairman of the Central Bank, Elvira Nabiullina, said that the Central Bank intends to reduce the key rate gradually, RIAMO clarifies. The Central Bank's further steps will depend on data on the state of the Russian economy, IA Regnum notes.

On July 25, the Central Bank lowered its key rate from 20% to 18% per annum. This is the second consecutive decrease in the last two months: earlier, on June 6, the regulator cut the rate by one percentage point. The next meeting, which will decide on the key rate, will be held on September 12. 360.ru .

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