The Orientalist assessed the US strategy towards Iran

The statement by US President Donald Trump about the possible refusal to extend the truce with Iran is an element of tough negotiating tactics, and not a final rejection of diplomacy. Dmitry Brije, a political analyst, told Izvestia about this on April 15.

"In practice, this means an attempt to negotiate from a position of maximum pressure on Iran, not to extend the pause automatically, but to force Tehran to make concessions under the threat of renewed military pressure on the Islamic Republic," he said.

According to the expert, Washington considers escalation as one of the instruments of pressure, and not as the only scenario. At the same time, the United States is already taking concrete steps, including increasing pressure on the Iranian economy and maritime communications.

The expert stressed that the probability of concluding a deal between the United States and Iran remains, but it is limited by significant disagreements between the parties. In particular, Washington insists on a long-term limitation of the nuclear program, while Tehran demands a relaxation of sanctions.

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At the same time, as Denis Denisov, an expert at the Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation, noted, the refusal to extend the truce has a negative impact on the situation in the region, as it undermines attempts to stabilize the Middle East.

"The countries of the Middle East have begun to return to a more or less normal life again, and in this context, another escalation naturally destabilizes all aspects of the life of these countries," he explained.

The expert also added that the impact of such statements on global markets is limited. In his opinion, the dynamics of energy prices depends not so much on political statements as on a combination of other factors.

ABC journalist Jonathan Karl reported after a conversation with the American leader on April 15 that Trump said he did not consider it necessary to extend the truce with Iran, since the conflict would "end one way or another." Karl asked if the war would end with a deal or if the US would simply announce the destruction of Iranian capabilities. Trump replied that everything could end in different ways, but a deal is preferable because then Iran will be able to recover, especially since they now have a different regime.

US Vice President Jay Dee Vance announced earlier that day that US President Donald Trump intends to conclude an agreement with Iran. At the same time, he noted that Trump is not aiming at concluding a "small deal." According to Vance, if Iran expresses its readiness to normalize relations, then the United States is ready to treat it economically "like a normal country."

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