The political scientist predicted the scenario of the conflict in the Middle East

The Iranian conflict is unlikely to end after the truce. Konstantin Blokhin, a leading researcher at the Center for Security Studies at the Russian Academy of Sciences, and an American political scientist, expressed this opinion on Tuesday, April 14.

The day before, US Vice President Jay Dee Vance announced that he had achieved his goals as part of the military operation against Iran and was ready to move on to ending the conflict, NSN reports. According to him, the current situation allows for a gradual curtailment of military operations, IA Regnum reports.

Blokhin noted that it is difficult to say whether the hot phase of the conflict between the United States and Iran has ended. According to the political scientist, the American elite has not abandoned the idea of regime change in Iran and may yet return to it. Now, US President Donald Trump needs to demonstrate strength, showing that all the goals in Tehran have been achieved, and start negotiations to get out of this conflict, saving face, the expert said.

"The art of war is always a pretty tricky thing. Any truce is seen as a tactical maneuver, as a kind of time-out to build up forces and concentrate resources. It is clear that this truce is temporary. It is possible that a third party, namely Israel, will want to sabotage this truce in order to drag the United States back into a new stage of escalation," the political scientist concluded in an interview with Lenta.Ru .

Steps to the meeting: Russia expects progress in U.S.-Iran talks in Islamabad

Will the parties be able to find a compromise on the Strait of Hormuz and "cool down" the Middle East

On the same day, Vance announced the intention of the United States to take all enriched uranium from Iran. He said that the United States expects Iran to take steps to open the Strait of Hormuz. Rejecting this, he said, would fundamentally change the course of negotiations.

On April 9, Trump announced that the United States and Iran would soon be able to reach an agreement. The American leader stressed that he is optimistic and considers the signing of a peace document an achievable goal.

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