Trump scared the markets in his address about Iran. What the media is writing
US President Donald Trump has addressed the nation in connection with the war with Iran. He promised to end the conflict soon, but at the same time threatened new attacks on power plants. His speech eventually scared investors and led to a spike in oil prices. How the world's media reacted to Trump's statements from the White House is in the Izvestia digest.
Bloomberg: Trump announced the imminent end of the war with Iran
Trump said that the war in Iran is "very close" to an end, although he noted that the United States plans to launch new attacks on the country within the next two to three weeks. In his address to the nation, he called the war a success, saying that the operation had almost achieved its military objectives, including the destruction of Iranian ballistic missiles and drones, the air force, navy and industrial base. He said that these steps would prevent the destabilization of the region by Tehran's henchmen and block the country's path to nuclear weapons.
Bloomberg
"I am pleased to announce tonight that these key strategic goals are nearing completion,— Trump said from the White House in his roughly 20-minute speech. — We will finish this job. And we will finish it very quickly, we are very close to the goal." This speech came at a time when the president is trying to find a way out of a conflict that quickly spiraled out of control.
Instead of calming the markets and convincing them of the possibility of a quick end to the war, some of his statements seem to have alarmed investors. Trump said that military operations could soon intensify. He suggested that diplomacy would continue, but if no agreement was reached, the United States would deal "a very severe blow to each of their power plants."
Reuters: hopes for an early end to the war with Iran are fading
Hopes for an early end to the war in the Middle East faded after Trump promised more aggressive strikes against Iran, disappointing investors who had hoped for clearer signals of a way out of the month-long conflict. After Trump's announcement that military operations would be intensified in the next two to three weeks, and the lack of a specific timetable for the cessation of hostilities, stocks fell, oil prices rose sharply, and the dollar strengthened.
Reuters
"I can say tonight that we are moving according to plan and will soon, very soon, complete all of America's military objectives," Trump said in a prime-time speech on Wednesday evening. — In the next two or three weeks, we will deal them an extremely strong blow. We will return them to the Stone Age, where they belong."
Brent oil prices jumped by about 6% to $107.69 per barrel, as Trump's speech did not provide any guarantees regarding the reopening of the most important energy channel in the Strait of Hormuz. The stock market also suffered: futures on American indices fell by 1.3%, while European ones fell by more than 2%. Almost all Asian stock exchanges were in the red, including Japan's Nikkei and the MSCI index of stocks in other Asia-Pacific countries.
CNN: Trump fails to allay concerns about the outcome of the war with Iran
Trump appeared before a country that, according to recent polls, has not only lost confidence in his presidency, but has also reacted negatively to his new war and is deeply concerned about its impact on the economy. Millions of people in the Middle East and around the world want to know when the war will end and how to fix its consequences, including the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, which threatens a global recession.
CNN
In his 20-minute speech in the White House cross Hall, Trump provided the most consistent and moderate explanation for the outbreak of war, saying he could not allow the "terrorists" of the Iranian regime to possess nuclear weapons after 47 years of threats against the United States. He explained the failure of diplomacy and the regime's brutal repression of his own people using his main political trump card — a show of force.
Many expected that Trump would point to a clear ending to the war in his speech. Not only did he not do this, but he also allowed the possibility of a large-scale military escalation. He also threatened to strike all Iranian power plants and oil facilities if Tehran did not comply with his demands for a peace agreement. Therefore, it is difficult to assume that his speech will reassure Americans worried about the development of the war, or global investors alarmed by the energy crisis.
The Washington Post: A plan has been developed for Trump to seize Iranian uranium
According to two sources familiar with the situation, the US military presented Trump with a plan to seize almost 450 kg of highly enriched uranium in Iran. It involves the delivery of excavation equipment by aircraft and the construction of a runway for cargo planes that will take out radioactive material. According to sources, the plan was presented to the president last week after he made such a request.
The Washington Post
Limiting Iran's ability to build nuclear weapons remains one of the administration's main goals. But, according to experts, this plan would represent an extremely difficult task, unprecedented before during the war. This mission would require the airlift of hundreds or thousands of military personnel and heavy equipment for the extraction and recovery of radioactive materials. According to estimates by former employees of the Ministry of Defense, this could take weeks and take place under fire deep in Iran.
One of the evidences of Trump's interest in conducting such an operation was that on Saturday he called on Americans to watch the program of Mark Levin, an ardent supporter of Israel. Levin said the United States should deploy "specialized" ground troops to seize Iran's uranium reserves. Launching a large-scale ground operation will require the deployment of special forces and many other troops and support personnel, which will create a significant new level of risk for the military. Polls show that the majority of Americans are against the war and, in particular, against the deployment of Ground troops.
Financial Times: Gulf states want new pipelines bypassing Hormuz
The threat of Iran's indefinite control over the Strait of Hormuz is forcing the Gulf states to reconsider expensive plans to build pipelines bypassing this bottleneck in order to continue exporting oil and gas. According to officials and heads of industrial enterprises, new pipelines may be the only way to reduce the vulnerability of the Persian Gulf countries to disruptions in the strait, despite the fact that such projects will be expensive, politically complex and will take years to implement.
Financial Times
The current conflict has highlighted the strategic importance of the 1,200-kilometer East—West oil pipeline built by Saudi Arabia. It was built in the 1980s due to fears that the Iran-Iraq "tanker war" would lead to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. Now it is the most important transport artery, through which 7 million barrels of oil per day are delivered to the port of Yanbu on the Red Sea, bypassing Hormuz.
In the near future, the expansion of the East—West pipeline, as well as the existing route from Abu Dhabi to Fujairah, may be the most appropriate options. This will increase the capacity without the need to create a new cross-border infrastructure. Saudi Arabia could also build additional export terminals on the Red Sea coast, including a deep-water port that is being built as part of the Neom project.
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