The expert spoke about the transformation of Lebanon into a proxy war territory in the event of a conflict between the United States and Iran.

Vasily Ostanin-Golovnya, a researcher at the Department of the Middle and Post-Soviet East at the INION RAS, noted in an interview with Izvestia that the IDF's plan for southern Lebanon and Hezbollah has been in place for a long time. In his opinion, practically nothing has changed in Israel's approach to this problem, the Israeli doctrine after the events of 2024 has only slightly shifted towards more active preventive actions and causing maximum damage to the enemy's infrastructure as soon as possible.

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"If the conflict between the United States and Iran in the Persian Gulf becomes a reality, then Lebanon will automatically turn into a proxy war site. The Lebanese media wrote that the US diplomatic mission evacuated some of the employees and their families, so Hezbollah will be forced to demonstrate loyalty to the axis of resistance, it has no other option," the political scientist believes.

The expert is confident that all this will lead to adverse consequences for Lebanon.

"It is still premature to claim that a full-scale war is inevitable before it has begun, although all the signs are obvious. Both sides nevertheless remember the price of the previous phase of the conflict. Israel is definitely not interested in fighting for a long—term nature, because it will be a war of attrition on the northern front," the expert believes.

Earlier it became known that Israel had prepared a plan for a full-scale military operation against the Shiite Hezbollah group in Lebanon. East Jerusalem will take such a step if the organization decides to support Tehran in a possible conflict with Washington. Iran is the main sponsor of the Shiite group, which has recently managed to rebuild a fifth of its military forces and secure financial assistance from Iran in the amount of $1 billion.

Read more about this in the Izvestia article:

They found the extremes: the US war with Iran could exacerbate the Israeli-Lebanese conflict

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