VTB predicted growth in four sectors of the economy

In 2026, most sectors of the Russian economy will gradually begin to stabilize. This will be facilitated by a reduction in the key rate, according to the base scenario of the Bank of Russia, to 13.5–14.5%. This forecast was announced by Dmitry Sredin, head of the Customer Relations Department of VTB Market industries, at the forum "RUSSIA IS CALLING! St. Petersburg".

According to Sredin, four industries will show positive dynamics in the next two to three years. In the energy sector, the modernization of existing facilities and the construction of a new generation will create a multiplier effect for power engineering and related industries. The mineral fertilizers industry will also maintain steady dynamics and remain one of the most stable segments of non-primary exports.

In the gas chemistry sector, Russia should switch from raw material exports to exports of high-value-added products, including polymers, by 2030, Sredin noted. A multiple increase in exports will be ensured by the construction of an ethane-containing gas processing complex in Ust-Luga, implemented with the support of VTB, and the creation of a gas chemical cluster in the Far East.

In addition, there is still a need to create new infrastructure in Russia, Sredin stressed. Thus, the total cost of PPP projects supported by VTB in 2025 exceeded 3 trillion rubles.

"Over the next decade, we will see a new type of economy — more autonomous, technologically advanced, and integrated into our own production and logistics chains," said a VTB representative. According to him, the drivers of growth will be not so much individual industries as technologies that form the country's new industrial and digital base. "We expect that industrial robotics and automation, additive technologies (3D printing), as well as artificial intelligence will become key technological areas," concluded Sredin.

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