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The United States and Iran are preparing for the first talks in a long time. What the media is writing

NBC News: Trump's goals on Iran remain unclear
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Negotiations between the United States and Iran are due to take place in Oman. A meeting of officials may reduce tensions in the Middle East, but in case of failure, the option of using military action on the part of the Americans is not excluded. The main subject of negotiations should be the limitation of Iran's nuclear program. What the world's media write before the meeting is in the Izvestia digest.

Associated Press: U.S. and Iran to hold talks in Oman

Iran and the United States are ready to hold talks in Oman on February 6 on Tehran's nuclear program. They will take place a few months after the outcome of numerous meetings came to naught after Israel launched a 12-day war against Iran in June. The scale, nature and participants of the negotiations are unclear, although there are only a few hours left before they begin in Muscat. On the Iranian side, Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi arrived in Oman at night along with several diplomats.

Associated Press

Araghchi wrote on Twitter that "Iran approaches diplomacy with open eyes and a firm memory of the past year." "Obligations must be fulfilled," he wrote. "Equal rights, mutual respect and mutual interests are not rhetoric, but a necessity and the basis for a lasting agreement."

On the U.S. side, the negotiations are likely to be led by the U.S. Special Envoy for the Middle East, Steve Witkoff. He is accompanied on his Middle East tour by Jared Kushner, the son-in-law of US President Donald Trump, who has presented proposals on the Gaza Strip in recent weeks and participated in trilateral talks with Russia and Ukraine in Abu Dhabi. From there, they will travel to Qatar on the evening of February 5 for meetings with local officials.

NBC News: Trump's goals on Iran remain unclear

Senior Trump administration officials do not yet have clear indications of what he hopes to achieve by military action in Iran. Although Trump has left open the possibility of regime change in Iran, two U.S. officials said he has not yet decided on the exact objectives of any possible military action. They also noted that there is no clear plan or consensus in the administration on what role the United States will play after any such operation.

NBC News

In an interview on Wednesday, Trump was asked if Iran's supreme leader [Ali Khamenei] should be worried, and he replied: "I would say that he should be very worried, yes. He should." Trump said he learned about a possible attempt by Iran to resume its nuclear program after the US military "destroyed" three of its nuclear facilities in June. "They were thinking about setting up a new business in another region of the country," Trump said. — We found out about it. I said, 'If you do this, we will take a lot of revenge on you.'"

US Secretary of State Marco Rubio said that negotiations between American and Iranian officials should include limiting not only Iran's nuclear program, but also the range of its ballistic missiles, as well as its support for forces in the region and "the treatment of its own people." Iran has consistently ruled out any negotiations beyond its nuclear program, which it insists is peaceful, and has rejected the idea of limits on its ballistic missile arsenal or support for ideological allies in the region.

Politico: Arab allies that their warnings were heard

Trump's threats against Iran and the real prospect of armed conflict are keeping American allies in the Persian Gulf on edge. But holding the talks, especially after Tehran's risky move to change the venue at the last minute, inspires at least a glimmer of hope in the Arab monarchies, which have called for restraint. Trump is now less inclined to immediately order a military strike than it might seem.

Politico

According to four Arab officials from the two countries, the president and his closest aides listened to their concerns about a possible US attack on Iran, which could lead to counter-offensives against neighboring countries and provoke a protracted regional conflict. The officials also warned that, in their opinion, Iran is likely to take retaliatory measures aimed at cutting off oil exports from the region and raising energy prices to a level sufficient to cause a global economic crisis.

Some representatives of the Persian Gulf countries also warn that bombing, even more intense than last year's US strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, is unlikely to be enough to change power. Even if that happens, Iran could turn into a quagmire for America, similar to the situation in Afghanistan, where American troops remained in the country for decades, supporting the new government after the fall of the Taliban regime.

CNN: Iran poses a difficult dilemma for Trump

If Americans wake up soon and see a new war with Iran, Trump will take a huge risk, as the United States seems to be tired of his extreme views. Polls show that the vast majority of voters are concerned about the state of the economy and their difficulties in purchasing food and housing. However, Trump started the year focusing on something else, and he's starting to get a taste for using military force.

CNN

That's why his threats to punish Iran for suppressing the protests and prevent the resumption of its nuclear program are well-founded, especially ahead of the start of talks in Oman between representatives of Washington and Tehran, which begin on Friday. But with approval ratings falling below 40% and the election campaign already looking bleak for Republicans this year, Trump needs to take into account his precarious position in domestic politics along with the extremely difficult military issues he has to resolve with regard to Iran.

Trump believes that his unstable policy expands his negotiating options. However, against the background of the new Iranian crisis, it is becoming increasingly difficult to imagine how he will be able to achieve the easy and confident victory he is so striving for. The president is convinced that the Iranian leaders want to make a deal to avoid the possibility of war with the United States. It has concentrated significant naval forces in the region and has military options for delivering a crushing blow. This increased effort has given tough diplomacy additional strength.

Bloomberg: Oil prices rise before negotiations

Oil prices rose ahead of planned talks between Iran and the United States, as Tehran made it clear that there would be no quick solution to the escalating tensions between the two sides. The price of Brent crude oil approached $69 per barrel after falling 2.8% on Thursday, while WTI crude oil was trading above $64. Futures rose after Iranian media reported a slight delay in negotiations, during which the focus will be on "general issues" rather than minor technical ones. problems.

Bloomberg

Oil prices are still moving towards their first weekly decline since mid-December, partially offsetting the risk premium created by escalating tensions in the Middle East, which supplies about a third of the world's oil. However, the different positions on the parameters of the US-Iranian negotiations do not allow us to determine unequivocally whether the parties will be able to really overcome serious differences, which means that the negotiations are likely to continue to distract attention from the problem of physical oversupply.

Oil markets are getting rid of part of the geopolitical risk premium and returning to fundamental indicators, which, in fact, indicate the availability of sufficient reserves. However, if negotiations reach an impasse, the risk premium will increase again. Saudi Arabia has lowered prices for buyers in Asia by less than expected, indicating the kingdom's faith in demand for its oil.

Переведено сервисом «Яндекс Переводчик»

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