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The Orientalist predicted the outcome of Trump's peace initiative on Gaza

Orientalist Krylov: the proposed Gas agreement will not last long
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Photo: REUTERS/Dawoud Abu Alkas
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Danila Krylov, a researcher at the Department of the Middle and Post-Soviet East of the INION RAS, Candidate of Political Sciences, noted in a conversation with Izvestia that neither Israel nor the radical Palestinian movement Hamas needed reconciliation.

"Now Hamas has been put in a very uncomfortable position, all their peace initiatives are completely ignored, the mediation efforts of Egypt and Qatar have been hacked to the bud, and Qatar as a whole has been made clear what Israel thinks about its mediation activities when Doha was attacked," the expert stressed.

The political scientist added that against the background of recent events, most likely, representatives of Hamas will not be able to change anything much, since US President Donald Trump adheres to a very tough approach.

"He has already threatened them with consequences. In addition, Israel has an absolutely categorical, unconstructive, non-negotiable position. Israel did not allow the Sumud Flotilla to enter the Gaza Strip. Regarding Hamas, the rhetoric of [Israeli] Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has not changed in the last few months, it will only get tougher," the expert is sure.

According to the analyst, the best option for Hamas would be to agree to something.

"I'm not sure that even if they go to all the requirements and conditions and comply with them, they will somehow protect themselves. Trump's plans for Gas are also such populist moves that, in principle, have no real basis," Krylov believes.

In his opinion, a peace agreement can be concluded, but it, like all previous ones, will not last long.

"It will not be executed and will be turned out by each side, it is 100%, just based on the situation at the front. And it will be more interesting not how Hamas will look at this truce, but how official Israel will treat it, because if Israel supports a truce but does not comply with it, then nothing will depend on Hamas' policy," the expert concluded.

Earlier, on September 29, it was reported that Trump's full-fledged plan to end the conflict in the Gaza Strip was published on the White House's page on the social network X. The plan for a peaceful settlement in Gaza consists of 20 points. In general terms, it consists in the withdrawal of Israeli troops from the strip and the suspension of the military operation in return for the release of the hostages being held, the restoration of infrastructure and the removal of Hamas and other groups from power in the region.

All important news is on the Izvestia channel in the MAX messenger.

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