The analyst predicted an increase in sales of new cars with a reduction in the key rate

The decrease in key is a positive signal for the Russian car market and leads to a more significant reduction in interest rates in banks (by 3-4%), which encourages spending instead of storing funds on deposits. This opinion was shared by Sergey Tselikov, director of the Autostat analytical agency, in his Telegram channel.

The expert suggested that new car sales in Russia could reach 110-115 thousand units in July, which is a quarter higher than in June. The second half of the year in the car market will be significantly better than the first, although it is still very far from the monthly levels of 2024, he believes.

"The reduction in the rate, combined with large discounts on cars and other factors, will lead to the recovery of the car market in the coming months," Tselikov said.

In addition, Alexey Borodavin, head of lending and insurance at the Auto vertical of the Balance Platform fintech company, explained to Autostat that the Central Bank's changes mean offers with a rate of around 10% per annum for new cars, taking into account brand subsidies, and rates for used cars will be in the range of 21-25%. Demand in the car market in the second half of the year may grow by 15-20% compared to the first half of the year, he believes.

Half for a quarter: new car sales fell by 26% in six months%

The situation on the Russian car market is becoming more and more complicated

Earlier in the day, the Central Bank of the Russian Federation lowered its key rate to 18% per annum. According to the results of the first half of 2025, Russians purchased 530.4 thousand new passenger cars, which is 26.3% less than the results for the six months of last year.