The economist allowed a reduction in the key rate in June by 1-2%

Igor Balynin, an associate professor at the Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation, allowed a decision to lower the key rate at the next meeting of the Board of Directors of the Bank of Russia, which will be held on June 6.

In conversation with aif.ru On Thursday, May 29, the expert noted that "the discussion about the magnitude of the decline is likely to be in the range of 1-2%." According to him, the Bank of Russia treats the implementation of monetary policy with the utmost caution, therefore, perhaps, the key rate may be reduced by 1%. The economist estimated the probability of such an option at 70%. Balynin estimated the option that the key rate would not change and would remain at 21% at 10%.

By the last meeting, the expert noted, a number of banks had prepared their products to reduce the key rate to 20%, but this did not happen. Now all banks are ready for such a development, writes NSN. Balynin highly appreciated the likelihood that subsequent meetings will lead to a further reduction in the key rate.

To accept from the rate: the market expects the key rate to remain at 21% in June

However, a number of players still hope for its reduction.

Earlier on May 29, financier Vladimir Bragin said that the market was inclined to believe that the Central Bank would keep the current key rate unchanged and remain in standby mode. Experts also do not rule out that the regulator may soften its position due to the weakening of inflationary pressure. 360.ru .

On the same day, experts told Izvestia that the Central Bank of Russia may reduce the key rate by 1-2 percentage points at the next meeting of the board of Directors on June 6.

On May 28, the Deputy Chairman of the Bank of Russia, Philip Gabunia, said that on June 6, the Bank of Russia would consider many options for the key rate. He recalled that from May 30, a period will begin when no decisions on the rate will be made, the website writes. kp.ru .