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Experts warned of a possible dollar drop below Br80 in April

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Photo: Izvestia/Mitriy Korotayev
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In April, the ruble may strengthen further - including for some time the dollar may go below 80, if speculative factors converge, predicted "Izvestia" analyst of "BKS World of Investments" Kirill Kononov. If a quick consensus is reached in the negotiations, the "American" can indeed go below 80 rubles/$, agrees Vladimir Evstifeev, head of the analytical department of Zenit Bank.

"The dollar is able to test the mark 80 - including in connection with the tax period at the end of April, when exporters will sell currency to pay fees to the budget. However, a very significant geopolitical positive is needed to consolidate the indicators. In all likelihood, the ruble exchange rate is now at its annual peaks," says investment strategist of "Garda Capital" Alexander Bakhtin.

However, by the summer the influence of negative factors will outweigh, experts interviewed by Izvestia fear. In the first half of April, the price of Russian Urals oil from Primorsk (Baltic Sea) fell to $52/bbl, recalled Alexander Potavin, analyst at Finam Financial Group. By the end of the month, its value fell even more significantly. This factor will affect the ruble rate with a lag of one and a half to two months.

Nevertheless, the Russian monetary unit, with great probability, will manage to keep the status of the most dynamic currency, which is assigned by Bloomberg in April, expect in "Dom.RF". After all, the ruble entered 2025 at the level of 113 rubles/$. And even if in December it will trade around 100, it will still be 10-15% better than in January.

Read more in the exclusive material of Izvestia:

Spring weakening: the dollar may fall below 80 rubles in April

Переведено сервисом «Яндекс Переводчик»

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