A shift in relations between Russia and the United States and an ugly deal for Ukraine. What the media is writing
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- A shift in relations between Russia and the United States and an ugly deal for Ukraine. What the media is writing
The call between the presidents of Russia and the United States, Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump, became the main topic in the world media. The two leaders agreed on a 30-day ceasefire between Moscow and Kiev regarding energy infrastructure. Experts are talking about a shift in the peaceful settlement and the need for Ukraine to conclude an ugly but necessary deal. What the press writes about is in the Izvestia digest.
Responsible Statecraft: There has been a shift towards specific settlement negotiations
The partial ceasefire on energy infrastructure agreed between Russia and the United States is a preliminary step towards more serious negotiations on a peaceful settlement in Ukraine. The White House insists on a complete cessation of hostilities, realizing that martial law now favors Russia. Moscow, in turn, is seeking to shape the terms of the cease-fire in its favor, including demands to stop foreign military aid to Ukraine.
Responsible Statecraft
A partial cease-fire on energy and infrastructure attacks, apparently agreed upon by both the Russian and American sides, is a tentative way to cut the Gordian knot, as negotiations on a full cease-fire will continue in the coming days and weeks. The truce in the field of energy and infrastructure represents significant progress achieved in the context of a difficult military situation for Ukraine, in a slow transition from a "military operation" to a de-escalation trajectory.
Experts note that a complete cease-fire remains a short-term goal, but Russia's involvement in a pragmatic dialogue on the contours of a final peaceful settlement should be a priority, since Moscow is unlikely to accept the former without a workable plan for the latter.
The Wall Street Journal: Trump's call to Putin signals a long road to an agreement
The question facing Trump now is whether to put real pressure on Putin to make concessions, or try to squeeze more compromises out of Kiev than he already has. During the phone conversation, Putin agreed to stop attacks on Ukraine's energy infrastructure for a month and continue negotiations on a permanent ceasefire. But it was much less than Trump had expected, and, of course, less than the month-long unconditional pause that Kiev had agreed to earlier.
The Wall Street Journal
After the phone call, Moscow said that Ukraine would have to agree to curtail its military mobilization and stop rearmament, expanding the list of Russian conditions for concluding a deal. Trump said that Putin did not ask for the suspension of military aid during the telephone conversation.
Trump now faces a dilemma: either trust Putin to establish peace, or put pressure on the Kremlin to make a deal that could hinder his broader goal of restoring Washington's ties with Moscow. In any case, Trump tied the fate of his presidency to Putin, testing whether the Americans' desire for an agreement could overcome the Russian leader's goal.
Foreign Policy: It's time for Ukraine to conclude an ugly peace deal
President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky should recall an earlier chapter of the conflict. In November 2022, the chairman of the US Joint Chiefs of Staff, Mark Milley, made a speech in which he rejected Ukraine's rhetoric about the return of all territories occupied by Russia. He insisted that "victory is probably unattainable by military means" and Ukraine was in a stalemate. The best option for her was to take advantage of the "window of opportunity for negotiations."
Foreign Policy
As this "military operation" continues into its fourth year, US President Donald Trump and Vice President Jay D. Vance are facing the same ugly realities. Assessing the facts, they seem to agree with Millie. If the initiative proposed by Milli had been taken and led to the cessation of the <military operation> by the beginning of 2023, what would have changed in today's Ukraine?
More than 300,000 Ukrainian soldiers who were killed or seriously injured could have survived. Thousands of civilians would still be alive. Some of the more than 2 million houses and apartments that were damaged or destroyed could still be inhabited, and about a seventh of the country's energy infrastructure, more than half of which is now in ruins, would still provide heating and lighting for homes.
Reuters: The United States is reducing its tacit opposition to Russia
Several US national security agencies have stopped working on coordinated efforts to counter Russia, thereby easing pressure on Moscow. We are talking about the monitoring working groups created by order of former President Joe Biden in 2024 amid intelligence warnings. The plan was developed under the direction of the National Security Council (NSC) and included the participation of at least seven agencies working with European allies to prevent plots targeting Europe and the United States.
Reuters
Since Trump took office on January 20, most of the work has stalled, according to eleven current and former officials <...>. [They] stated that regular meetings between the National Security Council and representatives of European national security agencies had become unplanned, and the NSC had also stopped official coordination of efforts between US agencies, including the FBI, the Department of Homeland Security and the State Department.
Some officials involved in the working groups said they were concerned that the Trump administration was reducing their priority. It remains unclear to what extent the US is still sharing intelligence with its European allies. Representatives of the British government said that the routine exchange between the United States and the British government continues.
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