What to watch out for as an investor this week

The Central Bank's decision on the interest rate will be the key event of the new week, analysts of MC "First" noted. Not only profitability of deposits and bonds depends on the regulator's policy - any changes in the rhetoric will affect investors' expectations of further dynamics of Russian companies' shares.

The Russian market may also be affected by the statements of U.S. President Donald Trump on the settlement of the Ukrainian conflict at the Munich Security Conference, which will be held from February 14 to 16.

On Monday, Nornickel will publish its 2024 IFRS financial statements, Finam said. In addition, on February 10, leasing company Europlan will share its operating results, specified in "Tsifra Broker". The events may affect the value of shares of these companies.

On Tuesday, Sber will report for January 2025 under RAS, Finam added. On February 11, Aeroflot will share its operating results for January, and men's clothing chain Henderson will disclose monthly revenue data, BKS World Investments added.

On Wednesday, Rosstat will traditionally publish weekly data on the consumer price index, Tsifra Broker said. This information will determine investors' expectations from further decisions of the Central Bank on the key rate.

On February 13, chemical holding company PhosAgro will share its IFRS results for the fourth quarter of 2024, Gazprombank Investments said. In addition, the energy company EL5-Energo will present its operating results for 2024.

On Friday there will be a meeting of the Central Bank on the key rate. According to Izvestia's consensus forecast, the regulator will keep the rate at 21% - this may lead to a moderate growth of the Moscow Exchange Index due to the overflow of funds from deposits to the stock market.

On Saturday, February 15, Sovcombank will publish its IFRS financial results for 2024, BKS World Investments said.

The bond market traditionally reacts emotionally to any data and news before the meeting of the Central Bank on the key, specified analyst of "Gazprombank Investments" Andrey Vanin. Strong jumps in quotations are possible if the regulator's decision will be very different from the market consensus. In general, the RGBI index of government bonds will move in the range of 103.5-104.5, noted in "BKS World Investments".

The ruble will trade at 97-101 per dollar, 100-104 per euro and 13-13.5 per yuan this week, Gazprombank Investments forecast. At the same time, the Moscow Exchange Index may rise to 3100 points, allowed in "Finam".