A political analyst pointed out the dim outlook for South Korea's president

In South Korea, heads of state have been overthrown and condemned more than once, and such an option is likely for incumbent President Yun Seok-yeol. This was stated to "Izvestia" on December 5 by Daria Kurginova, an expert of the Polylog Group, political scientist.

Earlier in the day, it was reported that the South Korean police launched an investigation into the president on suspicion of rebellion because of his decision to impose martial law in the country. It was noted that the investigation began after complaints from opposition political figures about the actions of the head of state.

"Historically, the position of the President of South Korea is a "firing squad". It has been established since 1948 and the eight presidents who have held it were either deposed or received criminal punishment. Those who have quietly "retired" are rather a happy exception to the rules, so the "heredity" of the position is bad and Yoon Seok-yeol's prospects are not bright: he was just suspected of corruption," Kurginova commented.

The political scientist noted that Yun Seok-yeol's replacement will not have to go far. According to her, the post of president may be taken by the chairman of the Democratic Party and a member of the national assembly Lee Jae Myung.

"He was Yoon Seok-yeol's main rival in the 2022 presidential election. They were separated by literally a few percent. Yoon Seok-yeol got 48.56 percent and Lee Jae-myung got 47.83 percent. All the more so, Lee Jae Myung is now a hero of the 'battle for democracy,' having defended the country from Yun Seok Yeol's dictatorial actions," the expert emphasized.

So far, she said, the fight for the presidency in the country has been informal: to impeach a president, it is necessary to get eight votes from the ruling party. The political scientist admitted that the opposition will be able to get them if eight deputies decide to split from the party and take another side. The opposition has two days to negotiate with individual MPs, until December 7, when parliament will vote.

At the same time, she added that the impeachment procedure under the laws of the republic may take several months. Thus, parliament will vote on December 7, and then the case will go to the constitutional court. For example, in the last impeachment of President Park Geun-hye, the national assembly voted in December, and the constitutional court gave its decision only in March, the publication's interlocutor pointed out.

"Of course, there is a minuscule chance for the incumbent president to retain power. It cannot be ruled out," Kurginova concluded.

The tragedy of the situation: what caused the political crisis in South Korea to erupt abruptly

How the situation in the country will develop further and what the DPRK has to do with it

Yun Seok-yol declared martial law in the country on December 3. The reason for such a step he called the threat of paralysis of power, arising from attempts to conduct impeachment proceedings. Military equipment was brought to the streets of Seoul, the country's capital.

Later that day, the South Korean government voted to lift martial law in the country. After that, Yun Seok-yol canceled the emergency gathering of military personnel and sent those who arrived for the draft back.

The opposition Party of the Republic, in turn, demanded the resignation of the head of state and said it intended to charge Yun Seok-yol with treason. At the same time, all heads and senior secretaries of the presidential administration of South Korea resigned. In addition, labor unions of the republic announced a general strike. The country's Defense Minister Kim Yong-hyun, in turn, submitted his resignation.